1. To what extent, (if at all) does this development signal Israel's willingness to relinquish it's goal for a "Greater Israel'? 2. Will the territorial expansion by stealth by Israel in the West Bamk etc. - their illegal settlement strategy - need to continue for Netenyahu to retain power in the Knesset?
The architect of 7/10 was released in just such a hostage deal, what are the chances of the newly released batch of prisoners to lead the next generation of Hamas? Any thoughts on what the released Palestinians mean/will do?
Turkey's don't vote for "thanks giving or Xmas" so what do you think Hamas will morph into post exchange of hostages and prisoners, their last bargaining chip spent?
Thanks for your last Triggernometry interview. It really was the best breakdown I have ever heard.
A vast number of mainstream center-liberal Jews, throughout the west, hate Bibi and were fervently and publicly opposed to Israel's conduct of this war during the last two years. I'm honestly not sure how mainstream this view is in Israel but it is clear that many far left Jews in Israel agree. But I have yet to hear an articulate vision for what they believe Israel and the IDF should have done. If you have not already discussed this in the interview can you summarize any such visions that were widely promoted?
FOR MY FELLOW TRIG FANS:
(Comments welcome!! I am especially interested in ideas that realistically account for the political reality in Israel that was created by the attack. )
By way of context, here is a dialogue I participated in on substack following a Sam Harris podcast. Sadly, this is a pretty typical example of how those conversations tended to proceed.
LONG THREAD : <Lots of argument, comments passing back and forth every twenty minutes, lots of accusations, insults, hurt feelings, no suggestions from the critics... just accusations> :
:
:
Person A: "What should Israel be doing?"
(a week passes)
Person B: "Funny how that question always clears the chatroom."
Person C: "They should have submitted a plan to the international courts and then followed it. Hope that helps."
Person B: "A plan to do what?"
Person C: "These plans are typically very thick and assessed by the powers that check them, and I don't believe the onus is on me to get more specific so that you can attempt to trip me. I find this exactly the right level of specificity. If you don't, OK."
What will the role be for the UN in supporting the peace deal? Will they be effective in enabling any peace keeping missions required during this period, given their track record?
I think it's important to remember that less than 10 years after the yom kippur war Israel and Egypt made peace
Is there any chance that there is a similar path towards longer term peace here with palestinians, lebanon, syria etc? Why or why not
1. To what extent, (if at all) does this development signal Israel's willingness to relinquish it's goal for a "Greater Israel'? 2. Will the territorial expansion by stealth by Israel in the West Bamk etc. - their illegal settlement strategy - need to continue for Netenyahu to retain power in the Knesset?
The architect of 7/10 was released in just such a hostage deal, what are the chances of the newly released batch of prisoners to lead the next generation of Hamas? Any thoughts on what the released Palestinians mean/will do?
Turkey's don't vote for "thanks giving or Xmas" so what do you think Hamas will morph into post exchange of hostages and prisoners, their last bargaining chip spent?
Are there any grounds for optimism that all parties to this plan, but especially Hamas, can keep their agreement to it intact?
How does one square Qatar - friend or terrorist funder?
second.
Thanks for your last Triggernometry interview. It really was the best breakdown I have ever heard.
A vast number of mainstream center-liberal Jews, throughout the west, hate Bibi and were fervently and publicly opposed to Israel's conduct of this war during the last two years. I'm honestly not sure how mainstream this view is in Israel but it is clear that many far left Jews in Israel agree. But I have yet to hear an articulate vision for what they believe Israel and the IDF should have done. If you have not already discussed this in the interview can you summarize any such visions that were widely promoted?
FOR MY FELLOW TRIG FANS:
(Comments welcome!! I am especially interested in ideas that realistically account for the political reality in Israel that was created by the attack. )
By way of context, here is a dialogue I participated in on substack following a Sam Harris podcast. Sadly, this is a pretty typical example of how those conversations tended to proceed.
LONG THREAD : <Lots of argument, comments passing back and forth every twenty minutes, lots of accusations, insults, hurt feelings, no suggestions from the critics... just accusations> :
:
:
Person A: "What should Israel be doing?"
(a week passes)
Person B: "Funny how that question always clears the chatroom."
Person C: "They should have submitted a plan to the international courts and then followed it. Hope that helps."
Person B: "A plan to do what?"
Person C: "These plans are typically very thick and assessed by the powers that check them, and I don't believe the onus is on me to get more specific so that you can attempt to trip me. I find this exactly the right level of specificity. If you don't, OK."
I swear to you I did not make this up.
What will the role be for the UN in supporting the peace deal? Will they be effective in enabling any peace keeping missions required during this period, given their track record?
introducing.....the "united hallucinations" :)